Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.030601 0.036223 0.042074 0.048579 0.055573 0.062832 0.070906
2025-11-23 0.020428 0.028139 0.036738 0.046849 0.058245 0.070549 0.084707
2025-11-30 0.015208 0.024121 0.034677 0.047645 0.062769 0.079539 0.099258
2025-12-07 0.011779 0.021426 0.033497 0.048883 0.067312 0.088154 0.113046
2025-12-14 0.009592 0.019834 0.033289 0.050961 0.072570 0.097373 0.127331
2025-12-21 0.007417 0.017808 0.032208 0.051709 0.076040 0.104359 0.138922
2025-12-28 0.006828 0.017983 0.033938 0.055912 0.083626 0.116118 0.155986
2026-01-04 0.004674 0.015229 0.031385 0.054406 0.084054 0.119294 0.162965
2026-01-11 0.003590 0.014007 0.030819 0.055370 0.087445 0.125924 0.173920
2026-01-18 0.002586 0.012638 0.029874 0.055710 0.089966 0.131443 0.183514
2026-01-25 0.001811 0.011458 0.029076 0.056151 0.092541 0.136973 0.193077
2026-02-01 0.001155 0.010237 0.028066 0.056198 0.094539 0.141745 0.201691
2026-02-08 0.000434 0.008197 0.025541 0.054077 0.093791 0.143293 0.206676
2026-02-15 0.000072 0.006463 0.023263 0.052161 0.093233 0.145045 0.211910
2026-02-22 0.000004 0.005806 0.022862 0.052985 0.096310 0.151327 0.222633
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005358 0.022801 0.054289 0.100017 0.158390 0.234301
2026-03-08 NaN 0.005206 0.023318 0.056482 0.104931 0.166981 0.247843
2026-03-15 NaN 0.004683 0.022969 0.057271 0.107892 0.173076 0.258313
2026-03-22 NaN 0.005173 0.024893 0.061699 0.115905 0.185628 0.276736
2026-03-29 NaN 0.004084 0.023108 0.060114 0.115526 0.187427 0.281901
2026-04-05 NaN 0.003726 0.022951 0.061128 0.118753 0.193833 0.292739
2026-04-12 NaN 0.003253 0.022420 0.061487 0.121032 0.199005 0.302038
2026-04-19 NaN 0.002848 0.021975 0.061951 0.123438 0.204325 0.311511